WASH 16

$$ BUFFALO 31
$$ Denver 30
CLEVELAND 6
$$ K.C. 27

MIAMI 20
$$ N.Y.G 23
$$ PITTS 34
$$ DETROIT 42
GREEN BAY 25

CAROLINA 24
$$ S.F 49
$$ SEATTLE 27
DALLAS 13

$$TENN 25

PHILLY 10



LINE

-3 (-2)

PK (-3)
-6
PK
-5.5 (-4)

-14 (-10)
PK (-1)
-5 (-5.5)
-4 (-4.5)
-5 (-6.5)

-4
-6.5 (-6)
-3 (-1.5)
-2 (-3)

-3 (-2)

-3





13 N.Y. Jets

0 New England
10 CINCINNATI
9 Indy $$
14 San Diego

21 Houston $$
13 St. Louis
15 Balitimore
24 Arizona
30 Minn $$

23 Jacks $$
7 Chicago
10 New Orleans
27 Atlanta $$

20 Oakland

17 Tampa $$

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Please note the following subscription pick was locked at onlinesportsnetwork.com, i.d. 'The Director', and usasportsmonitor.net, i.d. 'footballandchicks.com', recorded at Keen.com, and e-mailed to subscribers prior to 8am 9/8/03.

9.08.03
We will not be trapped like we were in 2002. Tampa Bay is the Super Bowl champion until someone dethrones them; don't be fooled by a quick glance at the trend that the Eagles are 3-1 ATS over the last 4. Outside of the playoffs, the series is very tight. The January, 2002 battle a 'Push' in many people's eyes at -4, leaving Philly with a 1 game advantage heading into Monday Night.

The Bucs closed their season as the NFC's #1 defense, allowing only 97.1 rushing yards, 12.3 points, and 16.4 first downs per game. Outscoring their opponents by 6 points per game, they won by dominating from the opening bell allowing the opposition only 6.6 points in the first half; ultimately outscoring the opponents by 10 points per game. The Bucs continued their dominance in the 2003 preseason allowing only 13.6 points per game on a league leading 3 yards per rush average. Even more impressive is their secondary's abilty to hold opponents to 134 passing yards per game.

Philly, on the other hand has struggled since losing to the Giants, then the Bucs in the playoffs. The departure of of Hugh Douglas (12.5 sacks), a contract dispute with Staley, key injuries to Thrash, who averaged 12.2 yards per catch in 2002 for 635 yards, and defensive lineman, Jerome McDougle and Jerome Green has left them to struggle through preseason. Psychologically the injury to Vick may have McNabb very weary about running on the carpet. While the Eagles maintained they ability to slow opposing offenses this preseason to only 296 yards, it produced over 18 points per game (versus the 13 points allowed during the regular season in 2002). I challenge those that point it was only preseason as any weak link on defense will be key due to fact that each of their last 4 battles have decided by the team that won the turnover differential.

Look for Brad Johnson to start where he finished, with one of the league's highest touchdown percentage at 4.9%. With Johnson closing 2002 as the NFC's highest rated passer at 92.8, don't expect to see the four interceptions that uncharacteristically surfaced during last year's surprising route by the Eagles. Instead look for him to flaunt 2002's control and efficiency, which led him to the NFL's lowest interception percentage at 1.3%. Using Pittman's maturity, and the unmatched veteran receiving core in Johnson, Jurevicious, McCardell as downfield weapons, the Bucs walk away with a victory.
Tampa Bay +3


9.06.03
I like it. There is no better opening to the season than a predictable one. Having spent hours trying to beat the numbers on Thursday, we will roll with them on Sunday. Although the press has always dramatized the rivarly, the facts are simple. Last year the Pats outscored the Bill by an average of 20 points in their meetings; 4-1 ATS agains the Bills in the last five. The Bills 1-5 ATS as home dogs over the last three seasons.

With the Bills' trade of Price (1252 yards, 9 touchdowns), the Bills will have even one less weapon to try to turn the tide. Troubling for Bledsoe, who managed one of the AFC's lowest touchdown percentage of 3.9% in 2002. With no additions on the offensive line, Bledsoe, who was sacked 54 times for 369 yards (#2 in the NFL), will face a rejuventated Pat defense, who are back to their Super Bowl form with the addition of Colvin and Harrison (88 tackles and 2 interceptions in 2002). Key to victory here is the Pats' defensive strategy, who don't beat offenses with the sack, but count on Phifer and Johnson (a combined 265 tackles) to completely suffocate offenses as they cross the line of scrimmage. A leader in deadening offenses this preseason allowing only 4.3 yards per play for 13.5 points per game.

While both teams struggled on the ground, the Pats will exploit the Bills by varying their attack between Smith (982 yards) and Faulk (272 yards), and Patrick Pass; all who shined during the preseason. The addition of McCrary will be key in allowing Brady time to find Brown and Patten downfield (an NFL leading 27 points per game on 6.5 yards per game this preseason). As one of the league's worst defenses, sacrificing 267.3 points per game, on 18.9 first downs, and 330.9 yards per game in 2002, the Bills' addition of Spikes and Posey did little this preseason to improve their strength allowing 24 points on 315 yards. We agree with Bud Goode's statistical 3 point advantage for the Pats in this one (or more). The Bills will lose their third straight home opener.
New England PK
-The Director


9.04.03
Lotta guys take the summer and preseason off, not us. Be sure to check out to see if your team is favored to win the Super Bowl in our Internet Props.

Not us. We studied it. Originally, we thought this game was going to be a 'no-brainer'. But as Edwards' luck would have it, Pennington goes down with a broken wrist - Oh No! Time to worry? Maybe not. There are plenty of ways to 'skin-a-cat' (what a horrible saying this is). For just a moment, the Over Total of 41.5 looked pretty tasty. Here are two teams that closed 2002 Pickin' Winners As A Featured Handicapper! averaging totals over 42 points. Until Spurrier's lastest hi-jinx, I may have even been sold on Spurrier correcting his failures against NFC East foes, 4-9 ATS over the last 13 contests, and his the Skins failure to capitilize as favorites going 29-50 since '92.

Then Spurrier sells off Watson, who managed one of the NFC's leading averages of 4.6 yards per carry. This would not be so critical if Spurrier had not already traded away one of the best backs in Stephen Davis, who put up 820 yards in 2002. With a rookie TE in Robert Royal, an unproven running back in Canidate (who only put up 79 yards in 2002), there will be little opportunity to find space for Coles (the Jets secondary knowing every move Cole will make) and Gardner necessary to knock off the Jets in this one. Ramsey will spend the evening in a 'catch-22' trying to make the big play while avoiding a repetition of his 3.5% interception percentage which led the Skins to a hefty -14 turnover differential in 2002.

The spread has moved 5.5 points based on Pennington's injury, and Testeverde's failure to put points on the board at the start of last year (the Jets going 9-7 over the last 3 season when the spread is -3 to +3). Let's keep in mind that this guy was not working at a supermarket, he was the mind behind the most exciting quarterback in 2002, putting up 852 yards himself in 2002, and winning over 9 games in both 2001 and 2000. Abandoning flash for Conway's experience, the Skins will count on their defense to win this one. Trotter and Smith (his age finally limiting his success) will press on Testeverde to try to cause a big turnover, and try to avoid the hole they were in 2002 as they sacrificed an average of 13.6 points in the first half at home. This is a troubled strategy considering that Testeverde only had 3 interceptions all of last year. With the line pressing up, Martin and Jordan should be able to combine for over 100 yards, exploiting the draw, and opening up the secondary for the play-action. Watch for Madden and Michaels to be calling out Becht and Moss as they stun the crowd with the big touchdown.

It won't be thrilling, nor pretty, nor will either team want to rely on its special teams. Edwards will sneak out with a victory as he out-smart's the Skins' linebacking crew, who have the highest yards per point scored in 2003's preseason at 20.2 yards per point. Headed to play Miami and New England, this not a choice.
N.Y. Jets +3
-The Director





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RICH GREEN


9.08.03
2** Over 35.5 Total Points, Tampa at PHILLY
(NFL, 9 et)

We have a ridiculous deal on site for Gold Key Football and Baseball through the Bowl Games, Playoffs, and World Series, only $245 for all Plays! Here is today's Free release on the NFL.

The World Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the NFC South under Head Coach Jon Gruden look to repeat this season. After being eliminated from the Playoffs two straight years in a row by the Eagles, the Bucs turned the tide last year and won 27-10 as four point Dogs in the Title game. Fittingly enough the first game of the regular season pits these two rival against each other. They believe they have improved their Offense this season. The Bucs will be without LB Shelton Quarles, who will have surgery on his broken left forearm and elbow Saturday and is expected to be sidelined 6-8 weeks.

The Eagles of the NFC East under fifth year Head Coach Andy Reid look to make it to the Big Dance this season. This is the inaugural game at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles look to improve on Offense as they have 10 of 11 starters returning, and a healthy Quarterback McNabb. Their Defense has changed, with replacements to at least four key starting positions. This game might just be higher scoring than expected between bitter rivals.

The Totals Line overnited at 35.5. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Don't Go Crazy Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays. Visit us and check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Plays on site as well.


9.07.03
2** DALLAS -2 Over Atlanta
(NFL, 4:15 et)

Here is today's Free release on the NFL.

The Cowboys of the NFC East enter a new era with Head Coach Bill Parcells. They finished 5-11 Straight Up, and an Even Stephen 8-8 Against The Spread last season. The Cowboys played well during the Pre-Season, and that might carry over to the opener here. With a new attitude, this team figures to improve in both the SU and ATS categories.

The Falcons of the NFC South under long-tenured NFL Head Coach Dan Reeves finished last season at 10-7-1 SU, and 11-7 ATS. But they have lost marquee Quarterback Michael Vick until mid-season, and showed little during the Exhibition Season. We'll lay off of going with the Falcons until they show they can cover without the services of QB Vick.

The Line overnited at Cowboys -1.5 and figures to move up. We'll go with the Home Cowboys today in a Don't Go Crazy Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays.


9.04.03
2** Over 40 Total Points, Jets at WASHINGTON
(NFL, 9:05 et)

We won again on our Gold Key Baseball Play yesterday on the Phillies, and are on an 8-1 streak on our Gold Key Football and Baseball Plays. We are looking forward to a great Gold Key Football and Baseball weekend! Here is today's Free release on the NFL.

The Jets of the AFC East under third year Head Coach Herman Edwards won last year's Division race, and made it to the second round of the Playoffs. Quarterback Vinny Testaverde will get the start tonight in replace of the injured Chad Pennington. The Jets have the ability to put points on the board tonight at the Redskins.

The Redskins of the NFC East under second year Head Coach Steve Spurrier finished last season at 7-9 SU and ATS. They have made improvements in all phases of the game. This team is still Offensive-minded through its Head Coach, and is capable of putting good numbers up tonight. The weather report calls for periods of Thundershowers possible.

The Totals Line overnited at 40.5 and figures to drop. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Don't Go Crazy Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays.

-Rich Green
editor@freesportsletter.com





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as of 1/1/03
FINAL REGULAR SEASON

AFC OFFENSIVE LEADERS

Oakland 6237 (279.7 ypg pass)
Denver 6090 yds.
Kansas City 2378 yds. (148.6 ypg rush)
Pittsburgh 5952 yds. (132.5 ypg pass)
Indianapolis 5616 yds. (253.4 ypg pass)

NFC OFFENSIVE LEADERS

Minnesota 6192 yds. (156.7 ypg rush)
N.Y. Giants 5826 yds. (246.9 ypg pass)
Seattle 5818 yds. (254.9 ypg pass)
San Francisco 5701 yds. (140.3 ypg rush)
Philadelphia 5604 yds. (138.8 ypg rush)


as of 1/1/03
FINAL REGULAR SEASON

AFC DEFENSIVE LEADERS

Miami 291.0 ypg
Denver 301.6 ypg (93.1 ypg rush)
Pittsburgh 302.2 (85.9 ypg rush)
Indianapolis 306,8 ypg (182.3 ypg pass)
Tennessee 310.3 (89.0 ypg rush)

NFC DEFENSIVE LEADERS

Tampa Bay 252.8 ypg (97.1 ypg rush)
Carolina 290.4
Philadelphia 297.1 (103.8 ypg rush)
Washington 299.2
N.Y. Giants 309.3


*These ODDS courtesy MVPSportsbook.com as of 9.6.03 (ODDS as of 6.21.03)
**For entertainment purposes ONLY.