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REGULAR SEASON
MONDAY NIGHT SUBSCRIPTION
11-5
FREE PLAYS
17-18-2
2003 PLAYOFFS
FREE PLAYS
2-5
through picks of 1.18.04
PRESEASON
8-4
EXOTICS
TEASE 0-1-0 | PARLAY 1-0
through picks of 8.28.03*
all STRAIGHT picks are monitored
independently by onlinesportsnetwork.com &
usasportsmonitor.net
1.30.04
"I can't believe it, but it's just like a dream," said Rookie Ricky Manning
Jr., who replaced Terry Cousin as the Panthers' starting left cornerback
late in the season. "If you asked me this a year ago on draft day...I'm
like, I'm going Carolina. Man, we're in the Super Bowl. Who would've
have known that." (StatFox.com, 1.21.04).
What is a Panther dream just may turn out to be a Pat nightmare. We may
just be reading the 2002 script again as the Pats enter with their center
Damien Woody as 'inactive'. Remember 'it's the small things' that win big
games. Playing on the Road for the first time since their December 20th
struggle with the Jets, the Pats will not have their 12th fan in the ferocious
cold weather on this fine Sunday.
Sure, the Pats are 10-2 ATS as favorites and 15-3 ATS overall in 2003. However,
the Panthers are even stronger going 5-0 ATS as 3.5-9.5 Dogs and 3-0 ATS
in playoff Road games in 2003. With the detailed breakdown of the Pats'
defense on almost every
channel, I think even I could devise a plan to beat the Pats on Sunday.
How critical is Bruschi's health to the Pats' D causing 3.3 turnovers and
allowing only 2.3 half points in its last 3 games? With a question mark on
Bruschi's leg, and his ability to chase sideline-to-sideline, look for a steady
dose of Davis (1444 yards on 4.5 yards per carry) and Foster (whose ol' end-around
style seems to confuse each and every defense); the Panthers rushing attack hammering
147 yards per game on a 4.2 yard per carry on the Road this year; a
critical component in Muhammad (15.5 yards per catch) and Smith's (12.6 yards
per catch) ability to pick up critical first downs and touchdowns this year.
Although Delhomme's passing attack (80.6 rating) is only averaging 52.4% completion
percentage on 6.6 yard per attempt, their .3 turnover average in the last 3 games
is definitely the key to Fox's slow methodical strategy that has powered 24 points
per game on 373.7 yards of offense per game in their last three. "He's a winner,"
New England Coach Bill Belichek noted last week. "He's making the plays you
need to make to win football games. That's what it's all about. It's not
about stats."(FooballNews.com, 1.22.04)
With Fox looking for redemption from Seahorn's failure to contain Raven receivers
in 2001's Super Bowl, this game could literally come down to the coin toss. With
the Pats seemingly leading every quarter in every game, the Panthers' D led by
Peppers and Rucker (12 sacks on 70 tackles), who are holding the opposition to
only 5.6 yard per attempt on a 56.4% completion percentage, will need
to stop Brady, whose 63.3% completion percentage on 6.8 yard per attempt on the
Road this season, has rolled over the opposition; even more impressive when one
considers the Pat's rushing attack has only managed 3.2 yard per carry on the Road
this year.
Those that tune in for Paris Hilton, commercial viewers, and novices to the game
will definitely not enjoy this chess match. Unlike the destruction in 2002, the
Pats will not cause 6 turnovers, and will not be able to conquer the spread
over the spirited Panthers who look to produce a miracle on Sam Mills and Mark
Fields' physical challenges.
Carolina +7 
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SUPER BOWL
PREVIEW
Carolina @ NEW ENGLAND
detailed game and team facts & figures
"America doesn't want us in the Super Bowl," Panther defensive tackle
Brentson Buckner said, "As far as I can tell, nobody wants to see the
Panthers in the Super Bowl. But we're going and now you've got to
deal with it. Because right now in the NFC, we're the best thing
going."(L.A. Times, 1.20.04)
"I'm not sure everbody expected it to happen in two years (turnaround
to a 14-5 record this season), Fox said. "We've changed some
attitudes though, and taken the approach that the foundation, the
cornerstones of what we were trying to build were enthusiasm and
hard work."(L.A. Times, 1.20.04)
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-The Director
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11-13-0
final record through picks of 1.4.04
An NCAA amateur, The Director in jumped on board
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NCAA and NFL Football Wagering Tips
By Rich Green
Emotion--
The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics
or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win
more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events.
This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical
game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others
in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion.
Such Coaches as Steve Spurrier, Bobby Bowden, Sonny Lubick, Phillip Fulmer,
Jackie Sherrill, Dennis Erickson, and Lou Holtz among others have all shown
their worth in this area over the years...
READ ON
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No idea what a Teaser Bet is?
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How to play the Over?
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In-Depth - Learn How to Play Halftime?
Click Here
BEWARE! SCAMDICAPPERS
By William D. Foote
“No enemy is worse than bad advice”- Sophocles
With an ever increasing amount of sports handicapping services available, it is
getting harder and harder for the novice to find and trust a reputable advisory
service. We would not be going out on a limb by saying that at least 90% of the
outfits in operation are doing their clients more harm than good. There are several
reasons why this is the case.
Each service has its own way of doing business. There are innumerable different
fashions in which they bend the rules of candor. While we do not have the time or
the willingness to detail the many types of duplicity present in this industry, we
will illustrate three of the more common scenarios we see. Each has their own
distinctive impact on the reputation of the sports handicapping trade...
CONTINUE HERE
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JIMMY VACCARO
-Jimmy Vaccaro
jimmyvaccaro.com
RICH GREEN
3*** Under 37.5 Total Points, Carolina/New England
(Super Bowl, 6:25 et)
We have a ridiculous deal on site for the rest of Gold Key Basketball for only $195,
and this now includes the Super Bowl! You are welcome to stop by our site daily
for free injury reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, Contests, etc.
Here is today's Free release on the Super Bowl.
The Panthers under Head Coach John Fox won the NFC South by going 11-5 Straight Up.
They whooped the Cowboys at Home to start their Playoff run, then came back two
games ago for Gold Key Members with an outright win at the Rams in Double OverTime,
no small feat. The Panthers then came through for Free Players here with a SU win
over the Eagles in the NFC Championship to propel themselves to the Super Bowl.
They have gotten here by playing great Defense, and that should continue this
evening.
The Patriots of the AFC East under Head Coach Bill Belichick finished the regular
season at 14-2 Straight Up, winning their Division. Two games ago they won SU over
the Titans at Home, 17-14. In their last they won and covered Against The Spread in
a Gold Key Winner at Home in the AFC Championship over the Colts, a great Offensive
team. The Patriots look to win their 15th event in a row today, and it is their
Defense which leads the way.
The Totals Line overnited at 37 and figures to move up. We'll go with the Under
here tonight in a Good Free Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely
wager on the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key
Plays.
-Rich Green
editor@freesportsletter.com
SPORTS BETTING: PERCENTAGE NEEDED TO WIN?
Suppose you lay a wager of $100, if you win you would collect an equal amount
($100), but if you loss you would lose $110, a fee of 10% (Juice).
(Juice is the bookmaker's commission, also known as vig)
Example:
100 bets in equal amounts of $100 wagered per bet totals $5000. Assume you won
50% of the bets, you would have won on the winning games $5000 and on your losing
games you would have lost $5500. The results would be a deficit of $500. Be that
as it may the percentage needed to win is actually 52.4%.
Hypothetically, if you won 53 bets of $100 each, out of one hundred bets placed
(53%). Your return on the winning bets is $5300 and the losing bets would total
$5170. Bottom line profit is $130 net.
The number you need to have a profitable season in betting Football or Basketball
is fifty-three percent (53%) or better.
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